Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.238221 0.274994 0.315349 0.362893 0.417350 0.477750 0.549805
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.190469 0.240824 0.301029 0.378200 0.474388 0.590228 0.740243
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.149699 0.205769 0.278273 0.378630 0.513672 0.688819 0.932974
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.119089 0.176908 0.257304 0.376754 0.549190 0.788501 1.145220
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.096644 0.154319 0.240101 0.376180 0.585737 0.895165 1.385484
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.080138 0.136871 0.226701 0.378106 0.625582 1.012397 1.660625
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.068709 0.124936 0.219285 0.387480 0.677915 1.156219 1.999883
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.057746 0.111429 0.206594 0.385460 0.710676 1.273106 2.313763
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.050565 0.103133 0.201207 0.394816 0.764039 1.432020 2.723545
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.042910 0.092322 0.189149 0.389510 0.789437 1.544723 3.067397
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.037842 0.085609 0.183620 0.395554 0.836944 1.704476 3.522564
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.032109 0.076296 0.171133 0.385186 0.849780 1.798922 3.864003
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.029108 0.072511 0.169772 0.398494 0.914886 2.009415 4.477168
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026600 0.069358 0.169244 0.413605 0.986574 2.244589 5.179120
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023403 0.063862 0.162367 0.412978 1.023006 2.409790 5.754959
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020554 0.058631 0.155145 0.410210 1.053999 2.567551 6.338475
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018198 0.054192 0.149047 0.409103 1.088798 2.739190 6.980516
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016294 0.050582 0.144399 0.410868 1.131070 2.934781 7.709712
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014959 0.048318 0.142918 0.420806 1.196153 3.195720 8.639755
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013332 0.044814 0.137350 0.418472 1.228138 3.378033 9.396891
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012312 0.042973 0.136193 0.428502 1.295861 3.662791 10.464478
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010934 0.039655 0.130033 0.422692 1.317729 3.828707 11.237133
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010053 0.037809 0.128034 0.429189 1.376777 4.105163 12.356596